NO PROGRESS HAS BEEN MADE TOWARD PROVIDING A RESILIENT NUCLEAR MATERIAL SUPPLY SYSTEM, ONE WHICH COULD ACCOMMODATE UNFORESEEN OUTAGES AND HAS SOME RESERVE CAPACITY FOR PRODUCTION RATE INCREASES WHICH MIGHT RESULT FROM SOVIET INITIATIVES. THIS IS A MAJOR STRATEGIC ASYMMETRY, SINCE THE ANALOGOUS SOVIET CAPABILITY IS NEW, ROBUST, AND GROWING. (U) THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF AND THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE HAVE REPEATEDLY EXPRESSED CONCERN OVER THIS SITUATION. DOD BELIEVES IT IS IMPERATIVE TO PUT IN PLACE AN ISOTOPE SEPARATION FACILITY FOR WEAPON PLUTONIUM AND TO ACCELERATE PROGRESS TOWARD NEW PRODUCTION FACILITIES TO REPLACE THE ANCIENT REACTORS, AS WELL AS A SCRAP RECOVERY FACILITY. LOOKING AS FAR IN THE FUTURE AS THE LEAD TIMES FOR SUCH FACILITIES REQUIRES, MEANS THAT PLANNING FOR CONTINGENCIES, RATHER THAN ON THE BASIS OF CURRENT "BEST GUESSES," IS THE ESSENCE OF PLANNING. PLANNING FOR CONTINGENCIES THAT MIGHT NOT OCCUR IS DIFFICULT IN TIMES OF VERY TIGHT BUDGETS, BUT I URGE YOU TO ONCE AGAIN EXHIBIT THE FORESIGHT AND LEADERSHIP WHICH HAVE ALWAYS CHARACTERIZED THIS COMMITTEE'S STEWARDSHIP OF THIS PROGRAM, AND PROVIDE FOR THIS IMPORTANT MATERIAL NEED. (U) THE DOE FY87 BUDGET REQUEST HAS BEEN DEVELOPED WITH CLOSE COOPERATION BETWEEN OUR DEPARTMENTS. IT IS ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT AN SDI ACTIVITY CONSISTENT WITH THE NATION'S SDI PROGRAM IF PROMPT ACTION IS TAKEN ON OUR FY8E APPROPRIATION TRANSFER REQUEST. THE REQUEST IS MARGINALLY ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT THE REMAINING RD&T ACTIVITIES NECESSARY TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADVANCED CONCEPTS FOR THE WARHEADS OF THE NEXT DECADE AND WILL SUPPORT THE WARHEAD PRODUCTION AND NUCLEAR MATERIALS PRODUCTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE NUCLEAR WEAPONS STOCKPILE MEMORANDUM, I REMAIN CONCERNED THAT THE FISCAL CONSTRAINTS OF THE PAST FEW YEARS HAVE FORCED US TO OPERATE WITH A HIGHER LEVEL OF RISK THAN I AM COMFORTABLE WITH. THE NEAR TERM, MORE EASILY QUANTIFIABLE REQUIREMENTS, HAVE BEEN SUPPORTED WHILE THOSE ACTIVITIES ASSOCIATED WITH MAINTAINING OUR CAPABILITY, SUCH AS RESTORATION, REVITALIZATION, AND PRODUCTIVITY RENTENTION, OPERATE AT THE MARGIN BECAUSE THE IMPACT OF LESS THAN FULL SUPPORT IS NOT AN ASSESSABLE LOSS OF PRODUCT, BUT RATHER AN INCREASE OF RISK. (U) MODERNIZATION OF NONSTRATEGIC NUCLEAR FORCES (NSNF), AS WELL AS CONVENTIONAL FORCES, IS NECESSARY IN ORDER TO ENSURE A CONTINUING CREDIBLE DETERRENT. ALTHOUGH OUR NSNF SUPPORTS WORLDWIDE REQUIREMENTS, MOST ARE DEPLOYED IN SUPPORT OF NATO. SACEUR HAS RECENTLY COMPLETED A DETAILED STUDY OF HIS FUTURE REQUIREMENTS AS A CONSEQUENCE OF THE NATO NUCLEAR PLANNING GROUP DECISION AT MONTEBELLO IN OCTOBER 1983. I WILL BRIEFLY REVIEW SACEUR'S STUDY AND THE STATUS OF NSNF MODERNIZATION. AT THE CONCLUSION OF THE UNILATERAL WITHDRAWAL OF 1,000 U.S. NUCLEAR WEAPONS FROM EUROPE IN 1981, NATO'S LAND-BASED TACTICAL NUCLEAR STOCKPILE WAS REDUCED FROM APPROXIMATELY WARHEADS. AT MONTEBELLO, NPG MINISTERS AGREED TO DELETED WITHDRAW AN ADDITIONAL 1,400 NUCLEAR WARHEADS FROM THE EUROPEAN STOCKPILE DURING THE FOLLOWING FIVE TO SIX YEARS. AT THE END OF 1985, THE NATO LAND-BASED NUCLEAR STOCKPILE HAD BEEN REDUCED TO ABOUT DELETED WARHEADS. SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN THE TOTAL OF TACTICAL BOMBS AND NIKE HERCULES HAVE BEEN ACHIEVED SINCE 1981, AND ALL REMAINING HONEST JOHN WARHEADS AND ATOMIC DEMOLITION MUNITIONS WERE WITHDRAWN FROM EUROPE IN 1985. BY THE END OF DELETED NATO'S LAND-BASED NUCLEAR STOCKPILE IS PLANNED TO BE REDUCED TO ABOUT YEARS. DELETED WARHEADS--THE LOWEST LEVEL IN OVER TWENTY MINISTERS ALSO CONCLUDED AT MONTEBELLO THAT THE NATO ALLIANCE MUST, IN CONJUNCTION WITH WARHEAD WITHDRAWALS, TAKE THE NECESSARY ACTIONS TO IMPROVE ITS FORCES ACROSS THE ENTIRE SPECTRUM IN ORDER TO ENSURE A CONTINUING CREDIBLE DETERRENT. SPECIFICALLY, MINISTERS SUPPORTED THE NEED FOR SEVERAL IMPROVEMENT MEASURES IDENTIFIED BY THE NATO HIGH LEVEL GROUP: DELETED MINISTERS ALSO AGREED THAT THE REDUCTION TO DELETED WARHEADS SHOULD NOT BE AFFECTED BY THE DEPLOYMENT OF PERSHING II OR GLCM, I.E., THAT ONE EXISTING WARHEAD WOULD BE REMOVED FOR EACH PERSHING II OR GLCM WARHEAD DEPLOYED. PERSHING 11 DEPLOYMENTS ARE COMPLETE AND HAVE BEEN OFFSET BY PERSHING IA WITHDRAWALS. CURRENTLY DELETED HAVE BEEN DEPLOYED TO NATO. THESE DELETED GLCM WARHEADS TO BE DEPLOYED BY GLCM WARHEADS OFFSET BY FURTHER WITHDRAWLS (PRIMARILY BOMBS) FROM NATO'S SACEUR'S PLAN FOR ACHIEVING A DELETED NUCLEAR WEAPON STOCKPILE BY THE END OF 1988 IS OUTLINED IN HIS 1985 NUCLEAR WEAPONS REQUIREMENTS STUDY (NWRS). THE NWRS RECOMMENDATIONS INCLUDE: COMPLETING ONGOING NSNF MODERNIZATION PROGRAMS DELETED A SYSTEMATIC APPROACH WAS USED TO DETERMINE THE MINIMUM NUMBER, TYPE, AND LOCATION OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS REQUIRED TO HOLD AT RISK A RANGE OF WARSAW PACT TARGETS CONSIDERED NECESSARY TO DETER PACT AGGRESSION. WEAPON REQUIREMENTS WERE DEVELOPED USING A THREAT-ORIENTED METHODOLOGY WHICH CONSIDERS THE CONTRIBUTION OF NATO'S CONVENTIONAL FORCES DELETED METHODOLOGY CONSIDERS THE POLICIES, OPERATION PLANS, AND THIS NUCLEAR TARGETING CONCEPTS WHICH HAVE BEEN DEVELOPED TO IMPROVEMENTS TO NATO'S NUCLEAR FORCES WHICH WILL EFFECTIVENESS; DELETED - DEPLOYMENT OF IMPROVED TARGET ACQUISITION, C31, AND DELETED IMPROVEMENTS TO NATO'S CONVENTIONAL FORCES. I WOULD NOW LIKE TO COVER BRIEFLY IN SOMEWHAT MORE DETAIL SEVERAL FORCE IMPROVEMENT MEASURES WHICH ARE REQUIRED DELETED IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE REDUCTION OF NATO'S NUCLEAR STOCKPILE. COMPLETE GLCM AND PERSHING I DEPLOYMENTS. THESE DEPLOYMENTS ARE PROCEEDING ON SCHEDULE. ALL PERSHING II WARHEADS HAVE BEEN DEPLOYED TO U.S FORCES IN THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY, AND DELETED DELETED GLCM WARHEADS HAVE BEEN DEPLOYED TO U.S. FORCES IN THE UNITED KINGDOM, SAFETY, SECURITY, AND COMMAND AND CONTROL HAVE BEEN DEPLOYED, DELETED DEPLOYMENT OF MODERNIZED BOMBS TO U.S. AIR FORCES IN EUROPE IS ABOUT DELETED COMPLETE, AND IS SCHEDULED FOR COMPLETION IN DELETED DELETED ADDITIONALLY, IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE PROVISIONS OF THE FY 1985 DOD DELETED W82 155MM NUCLEAR ARTILLERY ROUND HAS BEGUN. THE FINAL $10M TO COMPLETE THE DOE PRODUCTION FACILITIES IS REQUESTED THIS YEAR. THIS PROGRAM IS NECESSARY TO ACHIEVE SACEUR'S LONG-TERM OBJECTIVE OF MAKING THE 155MM THE PRINCIPAL NATO NUCLEAR ARTILLERY SYSTEM TO COUNTER EXTENSIVE SOVIET/WARSAW PACT NUCLEAR EXPANSION AND MODERNIZATION. THE W82 WILL REPLACE THE OBSOLETE, 22 YEAR OLD W48 AND WILL INCLUDE MODERN SAFETY, SECURITY, AND CONTROL DEVICES ALONG WITH PROVIDING INCREASED RELIABILITY, RANGE, AND ACCURACY. FIELDING IS PLANNED FOR DELETED COMPLETE CURRENT AIRCRAFT MODERNIZATION. THE MODERN F16 AND TORNADO, WITH ENHANCED RANGE, SURVIVABILITY, AND PENETRATION CAPABILITY, ARE REPLACING THE OLDER F-4 AND F-104 AIRCRAFT IN NATO. THE F-16 IS BEING DEPLOYED WITH THE U.S., BELGIAN, DUTCH, GREEK, AND TURKISH AIR FORCES: DEPLOYMENT IS WELL UNDERWAY, AND WILL BE COMPLETED IN 1995. THE TORNADO IS BEING DEPLOYED WITH THE BRITISH, GERMAN, AND ITALIAN AIR FORCES; THE DEPLOYMENT PROGRAM IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETED IN 1991. ADDITIONALLY, THE DUALCAPABLE F-15E IS SCHEDULED TO BEGIN DEPLOYMENT WITH U.S. FORCES IN EUROPE IN 1992. |